Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.314900 0.339937 0.366711 0.397590 0.432368 0.470497 0.515695
2025-11-16 0.267428 0.301821 0.341098 0.389758 0.449110 0.520077 0.612792
2025-11-23 0.239411 0.278144 0.324346 0.384470 0.462111 0.561160 0.700860
2025-11-30 0.224343 0.266847 0.319399 0.390693 0.487453 0.618341 0.816775
2025-12-07 0.209528 0.253818 0.310140 0.389141 0.500839 0.659629 0.916209
2025-12-14 0.197251 0.242662 0.301810 0.387213 0.512427 0.698675 1.018297
2025-12-21 0.184441 0.229660 0.289685 0.378387 0.512347 0.719285 1.093337
2025-12-28 0.179127 0.226177 0.290018 0.386978 0.538716 0.784274 1.258429
2026-01-04 0.173217 0.221364 0.287955 0.391566 0.558986 0.841798 1.423490
2026-01-11 0.166698 0.215222 0.283441 0.391827 0.571969 0.888251 1.578210
2026-01-18 0.158848 0.206710 0.274854 0.384910 0.571965 0.910813 1.687200
2026-01-25 0.150521 0.197075 0.264014 0.373522 0.562982 0.914952 1.754829
2026-02-01 0.143548 0.189260 0.255733 0.366106 0.561060 0.934207 1.869610
2026-02-08 0.137484 0.182528 0.248773 0.360428 0.561861 0.959543 2.010343
2026-02-15 0.132164 0.176633 0.242744 0.355799 0.564023 0.987984 2.170341
2026-02-22 0.129596 0.174714 0.242754 0.361368 0.586009 1.063201 2.500446
2026-03-01 0.125686 0.170558 0.238962 0.359982 0.594191 1.108692 2.759680
2026-03-08 0.121980 0.166542 0.235162 0.358259 0.601444 1.153332 3.040612
2026-03-15 0.117262 0.160765 0.228214 0.350365 0.595141 1.163473 3.198529
2026-03-22 0.115950 0.160222 0.229770 0.358049 0.622334 1.264418 3.792673
2026-03-29 0.114013 0.158601 0.229432 0.362149 0.642272 1.350944 4.401893
2026-04-05 0.111474 0.155914 0.227156 0.362382 0.653614 1.416183 4.970874
2026-04-12 0.107937 0.151497 0.221741 0.356200 0.649639 1.435827 5.307996